Why Are Project Treasuries Beginning to Prioritize Cash Runways?

 / 
1

The blunt answer: Because during the last bear market, projects with 90% of their treasuries in their own tokens couldn't even cover payroll when the market tanked and eventually got dragged to death. Project teams finally realized that "on-paper assets" and "spendable money" are two different things — a cash runway (stablecoin or fiat reserves) determines how long a project can survive, not the total size of the treasury.

A Bloody Lesson: Having Tokens in the Treasury Doesn't Mean Having Money

Most project treasuries were built the same way: token launched, team held the supply allocation, everything was going up, and no one asked any "diversification" questions. By the time charts started falling, the treasury that was supposed to carry the project through the bear market was crashing alongside the very token it should have been hedging against.

Uniswap Foundation's year-end 2025 report showed $85.8 million in assets, of which $49.9 million was in cash and stablecoins, and the remainder in 15.1 million UNI and 240 ETH. But the Uniswap treasury at the protocol level (as distinct from the Foundation) remains primarily in UNI, with DefiLlama data showing roughly 90% of the on-chain treasury in the native token. Compound's situation is similar — as of mid-2025, the DAO controlled about $164 million in total assets, with sizable COMP and ETH holdings that fluctuate with the market.

When UNI drops 70%, a treasury excessively weighted in UNI loses 70% of its dollar value — precisely when the protocol needs "dry powder" the most.

A rule of thumb: stablecoin reserves covering 12 to 18 months of operating expenses should be satisfied before addressing any other allocation question. A project with a three-month stablecoin runway and a treasury full of ten-year-vesting tokens is only three months away from trouble, no matter how large its on-paper treasury number is.

Stablecoins Become the Cornerstone of Treasury Management

As of 2025, stablecoins account for 18.2% of DAO treasury holdings, and service-oriented DAOs hold more than 41% on average. This reflects a strong preference for liquidity and risk management.

Polkadot treasury's Q3 2024 report showed total assets of $153 million (33.3 million DOT), of which cash and cash equivalents stood at $109 million (24 million DOT), and stablecoin holdings at $12.2 million (8 million USDT + 4.2 million USDC). Another 6 million DOT has been allocated for automated stablecoin purchases. This "cash" is operating capital that can be tapped at any time, not just paper profits.

The Avalanche Foundation manages over $2 billion in treasury assets through Aave, employing strategies such as: depositing idle assets on Aave's supply side to generate yield and borrowing stablecoins against blue-chip collateral for ecosystem grants and liquidity deployment. In essence, it's about obtaining spendable cash without touching the core holdings.

A Three-Tier Framework for Cash Runways

The industry consensus has converged on a roughly similar structure:

Tier 1: Operating Runway (3–6 Months)

  • Easily accessible stablecoins (USDC or DAI) for immediate expenses, contributor payments, and vendor settlements.

Tier 2: Strategic Reserves (6–12 Months)

  • Lower-risk DeFi lending or staking positions that generate yield while maintaining accessibility.

Tier 3: Long-Term Growth Allocations (12+ Months)

  • More aggressive yield strategies for capital that won't be needed in the short term.

When the Avalanche Foundation manages over $2 billion in treasury assets via Aave, it's using the same layering logic: some assets are directly supplied to Aave markets to earn interest, and some are used as collateral to borrow stablecoins for operations. This amounts to "assets untouched, cash still spendable."

Practical Application: How to Assess Whether a Project's Treasury Is Healthy

Step 1: Check the Treasury's Stablecoin Ratio

What to do: Examine the proportion of stablecoins (USDC/USDT/DAI, etc.) relative to total treasury assets.

How to do it:

  • Use DefiLlama's Treasuries page to view the breakdown of holdings in each protocol's treasury.

  • Visit the project's public treasury dashboard.

  • A stablecoin ratio below 20%, combined with project revenues insufficient to cover operating costs, is a high-risk signal.

What counts as done: Being able to state the approximate stablecoin ratio of the protocol's treasury (not just "a lot" or "very little").

Prerequisite: The project discloses its treasury data. Some projects do not disclose treasury details — this lack of transparency is itself a risk signal.

Step 2: Calculate How Long the Stablecoins Can Last

What to do: Divide stablecoin reserves by average annual operating expenses to derive the "cash runway in months."

How to do it:

  • Look for "operating expenses" or "burn rate" data in the project's public financial reports or governance proposals.

  • If public data isn't available, estimate based on comparable projects (a Layer 1's annual operating costs typically range from $20 million to $50 million).

  • Formula: stablecoin reserves ÷ monthly expenses = runway in months.

What counts as done: Being able to give a rough runway in months and compare it to the industry standard of 12–18 months.

Common failure reason: Users treat "total treasury assets" directly as "spendable money." But total assets often include large amounts of illiquid tokens or tokens highly correlated to the market that cannot be liquidated at book value in an emergency.

Risk reminder: Treasury reports usually have a lag (e.g., quarterly reports), so actual stablecoin reserves may have already changed. An analysis from November 2025 pointed out that many buyback programs rely heavily on existing treasury reserves rather than ongoing cash flows — a distinction worth making. Projects that sustain operations by selling tokens will eventually run out of tokens to sell.

Confirm you understand the significance of the cash runway: The next time you see a project announce "the treasury holds X billion dollars," ask first: "How much of that is in stablecoins? How long can they cover?" If there's no answer, then that "X billion dollars" might not even cover three months of payroll in a bear market. Next step: If you're a governance participant in a DAO, request the stablecoin runway data at the next budget vote — that's basic financial prudence, not excessive caution.